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Donald Trump has fulfilled his domestic campaign promises, but has yet to change the world
This coming quarter marks one year since Donald Trump's second victory in the US presidential election. The first changes can already be felt, especially domestically, which was the US administration's priority.
The attempt to change some mindsets, particularly by ending the "wokism" in various sectors of public administration, seems to be being accepted by the population. Despite everything, there have been some excesses, especially in relations with other public authorities and the press.
The new administration also acted quickly and effectively on the main issue that made the second election possible. The population called for stricter measures to control immigration, which are being duly implemented. The border with Mexico appears to be more secure than in recent years. On the negative side, domestically, there is the persecution of members of the last executive branch, particularly those who were part of the Biden administration, but also of the judicial actors who tried to prevent Trump from returning to the White House.
American foreign policy has not undergone many changes because the United States still has a desire to resolve conflicts through political and economic force, as evidenced by the recent imposition of tariffs on several countries. The only recourse to military capability has been to destroy three nuclear plants in Iran. What has been surprising in these months of office is the strengthening of the alliance with the United Kingdom, even under the leadership of a Labour government.
1 comentário:
From where I sit, Mueller's testimony changes nothing. As matters stand now, each side claims victory on the merits. The only "contradiction" from the Mueller report is its holding back from announcing that Trump did obstruct justice and would have been indicted for it were he not a sitting President. This was imposed upon Mueller by Trump's minion, Attorney General Barr.
Trump personally welcomed and invited Russian interference in the election, and was glad of it. Then he lied about it and instructed people to lie about it for him.
Q: Trump and his campaign welcomed & encouraged Russian interference?
A: Yes.
Q: And then Trump and his campaign lied about it to cover it up?
A: Yes.
I don't see much of a contradiction there. It contradicts Trump's insistence that there was "no collusion," but "collusion" isn't the standard. Soliciting or accepting something of value from a non-U.S. source is the standard.
More important is the efforts of Trump and his minions to cover up the truth, both before and after Trump took office. Firing James Comey was only the most glaring of the many incidents of Trump's direction and control of efforts to prevent and obstruct investigation.
Nevertheless, impeachment was always unlikely to happen, as Pelosi has made it clear that she prefers to see Trump defeated at the ballot box in the 2020 elections. Perhaps she is right -- those who like Trump ignore the evidence that Trump has broken the law and enjoy that he defies expectations for mature behavior from the President; meanwhile, those who dislike Trump do not need to hear the evidence again. Both groups are relatively small compared to the voting population as a whole, which does not follow politics with any real care or attention and tend to vote for their own party regardless of who the candidate is.
Will Trump be re-elected in 2020? That remains to be see. The election is still fifteen months away, and much can happen between then and now. The opening of a war with Iran would be immensely unpopular; the U.S. has been at war since 2001 and is weary of it. The economy has been expanding non-stop since 2009 and it is in the nature of economics that expansions cycle inevitably with recessions. Democrats have reason to hope that Trump will simply lose in 2020. They also have reason to fear that Trump will win, simply because being the incumbent gives him many advantages and he seems to have a core of support based strictly on his cult of personality.
Right now it appears the outcome of the election will come down to five states: Arizona, Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. What will make the difference there is a combination of the on-the-ground competency of both parties in the areas of registration and turnout; whether economic trends are improving or declining in late October and early November 2020; and whatever new issues face the U.S. a year from now.
The end result is: it's far too early to tell, and based on what we can know right now, it's too close to call.
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